Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 8.704458 9.929718 11.271004 12.849166 14.656471 16.663016 19.061844
2026-01-11 7.213259 8.859514 10.801996 13.266623 16.316005 19.972399 24.700602
2026-01-18 6.031264 7.803799 10.009031 12.960921 16.819982 21.709011 28.398096
2026-01-25 5.219880 7.048642 9.424944 12.749306 17.297709 23.328982 31.977434
2026-02-01 4.597696 6.442117 8.930742 12.548260 17.697891 24.803778 35.420746
2026-02-08 4.094523 5.929183 8.489248 12.340456 18.021139 26.145398 38.742119
2026-02-15 3.677696 5.487482 8.091277 12.132778 18.291048 27.391788 41.990954
2026-02-22 3.514839 5.395364 8.180538 12.634024 19.633238 30.305131 47.990712
2026-03-01 3.296588 5.194687 8.082280 12.828497 20.505016 32.554737 53.138241
2026-03-08 3.048738 4.922691 7.845624 12.775010 20.964572 34.174071 57.389531
2026-03-15 2.819260 4.658019 7.594428 12.668346 21.314891 35.625887 61.465986
2026-03-22 2.717670 4.592304 7.655865 13.077176 22.549120 38.629098 68.446837
2026-03-29 2.597654 4.487980 7.648341 13.374335 23.628887 41.481070 75.472751
2026-04-05 2.508970 4.429342 7.711911 13.797618 24.962562 44.883923 83.811826
2026-04-12 2.307369 4.154787 7.377496 13.479680 24.926024 45.817535 87.629329
2026-04-19 2.140680 3.929013 7.110584 13.259303 25.043804 47.030998 92.071402
2026-04-26 1.991264 3.722700 6.861988 13.049953 25.158969 48.237976 96.593478
2026-05-03 1.854401 3.528943 6.621107 12.833569 25.237646 49.371754 101.056629
2026-05-10 1.729532 3.348281 6.390750 12.617321 25.294481 50.458689 105.508189
2026-05-17 1.705176 3.360380 6.528964 13.139259 26.873504 54.710265 116.972163
2026-05-24 1.644105 3.294959 6.510507 13.341767 27.810714 57.722485 126.051123
2026-05-31 1.558660 3.173958 6.372509 13.286070 28.199879 59.618063 132.846747
2026-06-07 1.473698 3.047649 6.214447 13.174999 28.459370 61.253446 139.200485